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U.S. Equities Ascend on Fed Outlook; Investors Eye Job Data and Currency Movements

Market Update - Daniel Ang The Accidental Trader Traders Academy International 12

U.S. stock markets rallied as traders parsed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s recent comments and readied themselves for pivotal employment figures due later this week. While Nasdaq Composite climbed by 0.8% to 13,705.1, Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 each improved by 0.6%, reaching 34,560 and 4,433.3, respectively.

Fed’s Inflation Goals Influence Markets

Last week, Powell indicated that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) remains committed to a restrictive monetary policy aimed at reducing inflation to its 2% benchmark. “The FOMC continues to monitor inflation metrics keenly and is prepared for further rate adjustments if necessary. Thus far, they have succeeded in tempering inflation from last year’s four-decade peak, though policy will adapt as conditions warrant,” said industry analysts.

Yield Movements and Economic Indicators

The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield slid by 3.3 basis points to 4.21% on Monday, whereas the two-year rate dipped a single basis point to 5.05%. Market participants are especially focused on this week’s economic data, including August’s jobs report—comprising non-farm payroll numbers, the unemployment rate, and average hourly earnings. Additional releases include Q2 GDP’s second estimate, July’s consumer spending data, and the Institute for Supply Management’s August manufacturing report.

Forex Markets Show Variable Activity

In currency dynamics, the USD/JPY pair touched a nine-month apex, reaching 146.75 before settling at 146.44. Market operators are observing for any policy shifts from the Bank of Japan, as Governor Kazuo Ueda reaffirmed the bank’s monetary stance over the weekend. Concurrently, the Dollar Index slightly declined by 0.12% to 104.03 after peaking at 104.44 last Friday.

EUR/USD experienced weakening due to contrasting economic landscapes between the U.S. and Western Europe. “The European Central Bank hints at more monetary tightening amid an economic stagnation, impacting government budgets for the upcoming year,” stated market experts.

Commodities and Cryptocurrencies

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices edged higher, buoyed by concerns about Tropical Storm Idalia, which could affect oil supply lines. WTI for October delivery increased by $0.27 to $80.10 per barrel.

Gold prices inched up as the dollar plateaued and yields softened. COMEX Gold for December delivery rose by $3.30 to $1,943.20 per ounce.

In the digital currency sphere, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) and Ethereum (ETH/USD) traded with limited momentum, recording losses of 0.4% and 0.6%, respectively, over the past 24 hours.

Looking Ahead

Investors will be keenly focused on the string of upcoming economic data releases, which could catalyze significant market movements. Market sentiment will also likely be influenced by any new developments or statements from central banks, particularly ahead of their monetary policy meetings.

Technical Outlook:

The general positive sentiment around U.S equities is evident, although traders should remain alert to rapid changes in market conditions. Forex traders are advised to be cautious amid a volatile USD/JPY and EUR/USD landscape. Commodities and cryptocurrencies should be watched closely for signs of correlation with macroeconomic trends and central bank policies.

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