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Seven (7) Stocks Set to Influence the Market: A Closer Look at Earnings Expectations

Market Update - Daniel Ang The Accidental Trader Traders Academy International 5

In the ever-evolving landscape of the U.S. stock market, a group of stocks known as the “Magnificent Seven” has taken center stage in 2023. These mega-cap companies have witnessed remarkable gains, contributing significantly to the market’s upward trajectory. As they prepare to report their earnings in the coming weeks, investors eagerly await the potential impact on this year’s equity rally. In this article, we delve into the latest market developments, explore the expectations for these seven companies, and discuss the broader economic outlook.

The Phenomenal Rise of the Magnificent Seven:
The “Magnificent Seven” stocks, including Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Nvidia, Tesla, and Meta Platforms, have exhibited impressive performance, with gains ranging from 40% to over 200% this year. These soaring stock prices have been instrumental in driving the S&P 500 to its highest level since April 2022, accounting for a substantial portion of the index’s 17% year-to-date rise. Collectively, these seven stocks hold a significant weightage of 27.9% in the S&P 500.

Earnings Expectations and Valuations:
As these stocks continue to soar, high expectations for strong earnings accompany their premium valuations. Trading at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 40 times, compared to 15 times for the rest of the S&P 500, these companies will need robust results to justify their lofty valuations. The upcoming earnings reports will undoubtedly play a crucial role in shaping investor sentiment and determining the trajectory of the market.

Confidence in the U.S. Economy:
Recent strong economic data have instilled confidence that the U.S. economy may avoid a recession. While the Dow Jones gained a modest 0.3%, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq experienced slight dips. These fluctuations reflect the delicate balance between positive economic indicators and other market forces at play.

Dollar’s Trajectory and Its Impact:
The U.S. Dollar experienced a rebound last Friday after a week of decline. However, many market participants anticipate a continued downward trend due to the belief that the Federal Reserve is nearing the end of its rate hike cycle amidst softening inflation. The Dollar Index rose slightly to 99.923, recovering from a 15-month low. Nonetheless, it remained down 2.3% for the week. The currency dynamics have implications for various asset classes, including stocks and commodities.

Crude Oil Price Volatility and Influencing Factors:
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices closed lower last Friday after a three-day rally fueled by supply concerns and a weakening Dollar. Despite a drop in prices, tight supplies resulting from Saudi production cuts and interruptions in Libyan output continue to impact the market. The recent CPI data, indicating subdued inflation, further bolsters crude oil prices alongside a resilient U.S. economy.

Precious Metals Market and Ripple’s Legal Victory:
Gold futures settled slightly higher, while silver experienced significant gains following a landmark legal victory for the cryptocurrency industry. U.S. District Judge Analisa Torres ruled in favor of Ripple Labs, stating that their XRP sales were not considered securities offerings under the law. This decision sparked a surge in XRP prices, but the impact on major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ether was limited, with Bitcoin rising modestly and Ether experiencing temporary volatility.

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